{"id":10585,"date":"2022-07-06T07:30:43","date_gmt":"2022-07-06T07:30:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/?p=10585"},"modified":"2022-07-04T09:27:22","modified_gmt":"2022-07-04T09:27:22","slug":"us-china-relationship-improves-as-economy-slows","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/us-china-relationship-improves-as-economy-slows\/","title":{"rendered":"Signs of US-China detente as economy slows down"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">The US and China appear to have realised the constraints placed upon them by their interdependence and are seeking to ease relations as a result, with high-level government-to-government engagement between the pair ramping up significantly over the past year. However, companies from the US and beyond will need to continue to tread carefully in and around China, writes <strong>Joe Cash<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">In American political circles, China is seen as both a disease and a cure. As President Biden leads the Democrats to the polls for the mid-term elections in November, detente with China could stave off inflation, which analysts expect to be the number one issue among voters. However, a China-dominated world would also be \u201cdarker and harsher for American families, and it\u2019s one [the US] needs to stand against,\u201d according to US Secretary of State Antony Blinken.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0 <\/span>Meanwhile, among Democrats and Republicans alike, polling suggests that voters believe that limiting China\u2019s power and influence is a top priority and that they feel \u2018cold\u2019 towards China, despite also considering climate change to be the number one national security threat and only solvable through compromising with China.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"\/lp-cta-general\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7247 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-general.png\" alt=\"launchpad CBBC\" width=\"4680\" height=\"786\" srcset=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-general.png 4680w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-general-300x50.png 300w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-general-1024x172.png 1024w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-general-768x129.png 768w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-general-1536x258.png 1536w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-general-2048x344.png 2048w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-general-1920x322.png 1920w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-general-1170x197.png 1170w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-general-585x98.png 585w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 4680px) 100vw, 4680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">It is an equally complex picture on the other side of the Pacific. Despite the increasing frequency of rhetoric coming out of Beijing signalling that China feels comfortable pitting itself against the US in Asia-Pacific affairs (eg, the Taiwan Strait does not constitute international waters) Beijing is discovering that it is going to need to work with Washington if it is to make the region more agreeable to China\u2019s rise. Very tellingly, Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi recently failed to persuade 10 countries in the Pacific to sign a regional agreement on trade and security, demonstrating that Beijing\u2019s neighbours are not about to turn their backs on the US and accept China\u2019s worldview. What is more, as in the US, there is also the issue that domestic political concerns demand boosting trade and investment between the pair \u2013 the <a href=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/inside-chinas-zero-covid-strategy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">zero Covid<\/a> strategy isn\u2019t going to pay for itself.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">Finally, both countries\u2019 respective business communities have made it clear that they would value relations easing to a more predictable and manageable level. US companies in the country\u2019s technology sector, in particular, have lost billions of dollars\u2019 worth of business due to the Trump administration\u2019s decision to put Chinese technology companies with ties to the military on a \u2018black list.\u2019 Meanwhile, Chinese firms are continuing to look overseas for investment opportunities that are more stable than those on offer at home, and see the US as a key growth market, assuming the <a href=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/how-does-china-view-the-war-in-ukraine\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">geo-political climate<\/a> improves.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"clear:both; margin-top:2em; margin-bottom:2em;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/chinas-economic-outlook-for-2022\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"dofollow\" class=\"u63eca2787917438c8f5ce08d8a01a7be\"><style> .u63eca2787917438c8f5ce08d8a01a7be { padding:0px; margin: 0; padding-top:1em!important; padding-bottom:1em!important; width:100%; display: block; font-weight:bold; background-color:#eaeaea; border:0!important; border-left:4px solid #E74C3C!important; box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); -moz-box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); -o-box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); -webkit-box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); text-decoration:none; } .u63eca2787917438c8f5ce08d8a01a7be:active, .u63eca2787917438c8f5ce08d8a01a7be:hover { opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; text-decoration:none; } .u63eca2787917438c8f5ce08d8a01a7be { transition: background-color 250ms; webkit-transition: background-color 250ms; opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; } .u63eca2787917438c8f5ce08d8a01a7be .ctaText { font-weight:bold; color:#E74C3C; text-decoration:none; font-size: 16px; } .u63eca2787917438c8f5ce08d8a01a7be .postTitle { color:#000000; text-decoration: underline!important; font-size: 16px; } .u63eca2787917438c8f5ce08d8a01a7be:hover .postTitle { text-decoration: underline!important; } <\/style><div style=\"padding-left:1em; padding-right:1em;\"><span class=\"ctaText\">Read Also<\/span>&nbsp; <span class=\"postTitle\">China's economic outlook for 2022<\/span><\/div><\/a><\/div>\n<h4 class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">Background<\/span><\/h4>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">For all the headlines trumpeting the prospects of a second Cold War and the tweets by American and Chinese politicians and thought leaders alike seeking to stir up their respective bases to distrust and demonise the other, US-China relations fundamentally appear to be easing. Circumstances change, and the current circumstances in which the US and China find themselves warrant both sides taking time to reflect on their respective priorities.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">This de-escalation comes from a high starting point, make no mistake, and will not result in US-China relations returning to a level of amicability similar to that which was maintained by both sides during the Obama administration. It\u2019s unlikely that President Biden will be received by President Xi any time soon as a guest of honour at the Forbidden City (as was President Trump) nor will he want to be seen as accommodating China by offering a bow to his Chinese hosts (American media lambasted President Obama over this in 2012). Furthermore, hostility over topics such as Taiwan, Xinjiang and <a href=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/chinas-national-security-law-one-year-on-business-impact-on-hong-kong\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Hong Kong<\/a>, as well as fair trade practices, will probably remain \u2013 but both sides appear to recognise the need to bring the rhetoric down a notch.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4 class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">A little more conversation, a little less action, please<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/h4>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">Recently, both sides have become far more vocal on an apparent shared desire for more talks. Presidents Xi and Biden last spoke in March, and another call is reportedly in the works for as soon as July. The pair also spoke in November 2021, while their call in September of that year was the first in seven months, indicating that both sides see value in increasing the frequency with which they speak. And it\u2019s not just at the president-to-president level: other senior officials, such as US Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin, Chinese Minister of National Defence Wei Fenghe, US Trade Representative Katherine Tai, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, and China\u2019s economic tsar, Vice-Premier Liu He, have all increased the frequency with which they engage with one another, too.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">That said, just because American and Chinese leaders are engaging more does not necessarily mean they agree on more. Indeed, the recent meeting at the Shangri-La Dialogue between Lloyd Austin and Wei Fenghe demonstrates this well, for the pair presented duelling narratives at the annual gathering of the great and good of Asia-Pacific defence and security. What\u2019s more, the US is not always speaking to the right person, particularly on the subject of Taiwan. For example, while Wei Fenghe is nominally Lloyd Austin\u2019s direct counterpart, Austin reports directly to President Biden, whereas Wei answers to China\u2019s Central Military Commission, the vice-chair of which, Xu Qiliang, is seen as having the ear of President Xi.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"clear:both; margin-top:2em; margin-bottom:2em;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/where-does-the-uk-china-trade-relationship-stand-in-2022\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"dofollow\" class=\"u79d38173bf71dd605a90fc9819627be9\"><style> .u79d38173bf71dd605a90fc9819627be9 { padding:0px; margin: 0; padding-top:1em!important; padding-bottom:1em!important; width:100%; display: block; font-weight:bold; background-color:#eaeaea; border:0!important; border-left:4px solid #E74C3C!important; box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); -moz-box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); -o-box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); -webkit-box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); text-decoration:none; } .u79d38173bf71dd605a90fc9819627be9:active, .u79d38173bf71dd605a90fc9819627be9:hover { opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; text-decoration:none; } .u79d38173bf71dd605a90fc9819627be9 { transition: background-color 250ms; webkit-transition: background-color 250ms; opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; } .u79d38173bf71dd605a90fc9819627be9 .ctaText { font-weight:bold; color:#E74C3C; text-decoration:none; font-size: 16px; } .u79d38173bf71dd605a90fc9819627be9 .postTitle { color:#000000; text-decoration: underline!important; font-size: 16px; } .u79d38173bf71dd605a90fc9819627be9:hover .postTitle { text-decoration: underline!important; } <\/style><div style=\"padding-left:1em; padding-right:1em;\"><span class=\"ctaText\">Read Also<\/span>&nbsp; <span class=\"postTitle\">Where does the UK-China trade relationship stand in 2022?<\/span><\/div><\/a><\/div>\n<h4 class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">Agree to disagree<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/h4>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">While both sides seem to place increasing value on engagement, there are issues where the two sides will continue to disagree vehemently \u2013 international free trade and Xinjiang are two prime examples. The US and China might have come to recognise the constraints of their interdependence, but that does not mean that they will not move to advance their respective agendas in matters which fall outside the fundamental areas in which they cooperate, such as the environment and growing non-sensitive bilateral trade and investment.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">US companies will still need to tread carefully around China, even if both countries\u2019 officials are starting slowly to accommodate each other more at the highest levels of government. The US\u2019 Uyghur Forced Labour Prevention Act (UFLPA) which came into effect on Tuesday 21 June, for example, requires companies that import goods from China\u2019s Xinjiang region to provide \u201cclear and convincing evidence\u201d that no component was produced with slave labour; this is likely to be very difficult to do given the complexity of US firms\u2019 supply chains.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">The UFLPA is a piece of legislation that, when viewed in isolation, suggests the Biden administration is continuing to take a hard line on China. Read it alongside President Biden\u2019s recently announced plan to cut some tariffs placed on Chinese imports by the Trump administration, however, and it becomes clear that President Biden is signalling that trade with China remains important to the US, but within increasingly tightly defined parameters.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><span class=\"s1\">While the two will continue to disagree with one another on issues such as Taiwan and international free trade, both countries\u2019 governments appear to have realised that there is room for greater pragmatism in areas such as the environment\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<h4 class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">Tariffs<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/h4>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">One could argue that this is a more nuanced and pragmatic approach by the US towards its trade relationship with China, especially when compared with the Trump administration\u2019s modus operandi of placing Chinese firms on sweeping blacklists imitating the various market access lists maintained by China.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">The US is standing up to China where their values do not align and compromising where it is in America\u2019s interests to do so. This is further evidenced by the Biden administration\u2019s plans to change its approach towards China over free trade, which up to this point has been to punish Beijing with tariffs.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">Lifting some of the tariffs on $370 billion worth of imported Chinese goods could alleviate inflation by as much as 1% over the next six months; with inflation in the US currently running at 8.5% on the year, that could be tempting. <span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has said that some of the tariffs currently placed on Chinese imports serve \u201cno strategic purpose,\u201d while US Trade Representative Katherine Tai has indicated that the tariffs predominantly serve as a way of maintaining leverage over the Chinese in negotiations surrounding levelling the playing field for US firms in China and third markets. Removing some of the tariffs is in America\u2019s interests as it will push down consumer prices and ease inflation; keeping others in place reminds China that the world\u2019s most powerful economy takes issue with how it trades.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"clear:both; margin-top:2em; margin-bottom:2em;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/what-does-chinas-dual-circulation-strategy-mean\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"dofollow\" class=\"u188be5652193cb5e957df7a0b7968f7a\"><style> .u188be5652193cb5e957df7a0b7968f7a { padding:0px; margin: 0; padding-top:1em!important; padding-bottom:1em!important; width:100%; display: block; font-weight:bold; background-color:#eaeaea; border:0!important; border-left:4px solid #E74C3C!important; box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); -moz-box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); -o-box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); -webkit-box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); text-decoration:none; } .u188be5652193cb5e957df7a0b7968f7a:active, .u188be5652193cb5e957df7a0b7968f7a:hover { opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; text-decoration:none; } .u188be5652193cb5e957df7a0b7968f7a { transition: background-color 250ms; webkit-transition: background-color 250ms; opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; } .u188be5652193cb5e957df7a0b7968f7a .ctaText { font-weight:bold; color:#E74C3C; text-decoration:none; font-size: 16px; } .u188be5652193cb5e957df7a0b7968f7a .postTitle { color:#000000; text-decoration: underline!important; font-size: 16px; } .u188be5652193cb5e957df7a0b7968f7a:hover .postTitle { text-decoration: underline!important; } <\/style><div style=\"padding-left:1em; padding-right:1em;\"><span class=\"ctaText\">Read Also<\/span>&nbsp; <span class=\"postTitle\">What does China's Dual Circulation Strategy mean?<\/span><\/div><\/a><\/div>\n<h4 class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">The CBBC view<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/h4>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">Though it may be hard to see, US-China relations appear to be thawing. While the two will continue to disagree with one another on issues such as Taiwan, international free trade, and human rights, both countries\u2019 governments appear to have realised that there is room for greater pragmatism in areas such as the environment and bilateral trade and investment. Furthermore, even on those topics where they do not see eye to eye, the realisation that a conflict would not be in either country\u2019s interests appears to be sinking in, leading to increased engagement on these sticking points.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">US companies will need to continue to tread carefully in and around China, and vice-versa, and their government affairs teams will have to pay even closer attention to the signals coming out of Beijing and Washington, such is the sensitivity of the relationship \u2013 but the US and China appear to have realised the constraint that is their interdependence, which is no small thing.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p3\"><span class=\"s1\">It\u2019s good news for UK plc in China, too. With the US government adopting a far more clearly defined approach towards China, British companies dealing with both the US and China should anticipate the regulatory uncertainty that has significantly impacted companies trading between the two to ease significantly.<\/span><\/p>\n<h5>Entering China is a key decision for businesses of all sizes. Call +44 (0)20 7802 2000 or email\u00a0<a href=\"mailto:enquiries@cbbc.org\">enquiries@cbbc.org<\/a>\u00a0now to find out how CBBC can provide you with the platform to unlock your potential.<\/h5>\n<p><a href=\"\/lp-cta-membership1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7248 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"4680\" height=\"786\" srcset=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1.png 4680w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-300x50.png 300w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-1024x172.png 1024w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-768x129.png 768w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-1536x258.png 1536w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-2048x344.png 2048w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-1920x322.png 1920w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-1170x197.png 1170w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-585x98.png 585w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 4680px) 100vw, 4680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The US and China appear to have realised the constraints placed upon them by their interdependence and are seeking to ease relations as a result, with high-level government-to-government engagement between the pair ramping up significantly over the past year. However, companies from the US and beyond will need to continue to tread carefully in and around China, writes Joe Cash In American political circles, China is seen as both a&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":26,"featured_media":10588,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2169,132],"tags":[367,586,333],"class_list":["post-10585","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","category-news","tag-economy","tag-policy","tag-politics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Signs of US-China detente as economy slows down - Focus - China Britain Business Council<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"What is the relationship like between the US and China right now? 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