{"id":13606,"date":"2024-02-02T06:30:47","date_gmt":"2024-02-02T06:30:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/?p=13606"},"modified":"2025-04-23T09:02:26","modified_gmt":"2025-04-23T09:02:26","slug":"what-next-for-evergrande","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/what-next-for-evergrande\/","title":{"rendered":"What next for Evergrande?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>On Monday, 29 Janunary, a Hong Kong court ordered the liquidation of the world\u2019s most indebted developer, China Evergrande Group.<\/h3>\n<p>\u201cEnough is enough,\u201d said Judge Linda Chan as part of her verdict, appointing New York-based management consulting firm Alvarez &amp; Marsal (A&amp;M) to carry out liquidation proceedings for the Guangzhou-based developer. A&amp;M leaders said they would try to maximise how much of the company can be \u201cretained, restructured, and remain operational.\u201d Evergrande\u2019s chief executive said his company would ensure that outstanding home projects are still delivered.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"\/lp-cta-gateway\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7246 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-gateway.png\" alt=\"launchpad gateway\" width=\"4680\" height=\"786\" srcset=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-gateway.png 4680w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-gateway-300x50.png 300w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-gateway-1024x172.png 1024w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-gateway-768x129.png 768w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-gateway-1536x258.png 1536w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-gateway-2048x344.png 2048w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-gateway-1920x322.png 1920w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-gateway-1170x197.png 1170w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-gateway-585x98.png 585w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 4680px) 100vw, 4680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Evergrande, which has $300 billion in liabilities (equivalent to the GDP of South Africa), defaulted on its bond payments in 2021 and was unable to offer a concrete restructuring plan to offshore creditors despite 18 months of negotiations.<\/p>\n<p>What comes next is the long and complex process of liquidation and restructuring, which is complicated by several factors:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Evergrande\u2019s vast real estate assets (around 1,000 projects) are mostly in mainland China. Therefore, their liquidation requires cooperation with Chinese courts in every city in which Evergrande has developments, as well as numerous government bodies. Previous cross-border liquidations instigated by Hong Kong courts have been challenging.<\/li>\n<li>Local governments in China may be unwilling to quickly sell the projects and hand over the money, and there is an added risk of social instability caused by incomplete or undelivered homes.<\/li>\n<li>The majority of Evergrande\u2019s onshore assets have already been pledged as collateral to onshore creditors.<\/li>\n<li>Evergrande\u2019s founder, Hui Ka Yan (Xu Jiayin in Mandarin) is being held under suspicion of involvement in \u201cillegal crimes\u201d, and its major subsidiary, Cheng Hengda Real Estate Group, is being investigated, which has limited the company\u2019s ability to issue new debts and reach an agreement with creditors.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div style=\"clear:both; margin-top:2em; margin-bottom:2em;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/what-is-happening-in-chinas-real-estate-sector\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"dofollow\" class=\"udf784507ea0899728236eaf6bf02cf83\"><style> .udf784507ea0899728236eaf6bf02cf83 { padding:0px; margin: 0; padding-top:1em!important; padding-bottom:1em!important; width:100%; display: block; font-weight:bold; background-color:#eaeaea; border:0!important; border-left:4px solid #E74C3C!important; box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); -moz-box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); -o-box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); -webkit-box-shadow: 0 1px 2px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.17); text-decoration:none; } .udf784507ea0899728236eaf6bf02cf83:active, .udf784507ea0899728236eaf6bf02cf83:hover { opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; text-decoration:none; } .udf784507ea0899728236eaf6bf02cf83 { transition: background-color 250ms; webkit-transition: background-color 250ms; opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; } .udf784507ea0899728236eaf6bf02cf83 .ctaText { font-weight:bold; color:#E74C3C; text-decoration:none; font-size: 16px; } .udf784507ea0899728236eaf6bf02cf83 .postTitle { color:#000000; text-decoration: underline!important; font-size: 16px; } .udf784507ea0899728236eaf6bf02cf83:hover .postTitle { text-decoration: underline!important; } <\/style><div style=\"padding-left:1em; padding-right:1em;\"><span class=\"ctaText\">Read Also<\/span>&nbsp; <span class=\"postTitle\">China's real estate crisis explained<\/span><\/div><\/a><\/div>\n<p>Commenting on the court\u2019s decision this week, analysts have said that the news is unlikely to disturb Asian investors, as it was expected and is quite a unique case. As <a href=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/is-chinas-property-crisis-spilling-over-into-other-sectors\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Focus has written before<\/a>, while China\u2019s property sector woes are serious, their potential impact on global markets should not be overstated, and China is highly unlikely to be facing a \u201cLehman moment\u201d even if Evergrande collapses. Evergrande\u2019s liquidation does, however, deal a fresh blow to the confidence of Mainland creditors and may increase the difficulty of its restructuring.<\/p>\n<p>The verdict also deals a blow to the confidence of prospective home buyers and will deepen the trend of consumers not wanting to purchase homes from troubled (generally non-state-owned) developers. It could also lead to falling demand for construction materials and declining wages of employees in the property and government sectors if people stop investing in new homes.<\/p>\n<p>It tells other struggling Mainland developers that the threat of liquidation is real and that China is serious about dealing with its property bubble. Debt restructuring certainly isn\u2019t impossible; Business Insider reported that Debtwire data showed 32 developers in China managed to complete 42 restructuring processes worth $33.1 billion (\u00a326.2 billion) between July 2021 and October 2023.<\/p>\n<p>How China deals with the case will set a major precedent: Offshore investors will be keen to see how authorities treat foreign creditors when a company fails. Prompt recognition of the verdict by Chinese courts would boost Hong Kong\u2019s status as a regional finance centre and a hub to invest in China.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"\/lp-cta-membership1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7248 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"4680\" height=\"786\" srcset=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1.png 4680w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-300x50.png 300w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-1024x172.png 1024w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-768x129.png 768w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-1536x258.png 1536w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-2048x344.png 2048w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-1920x322.png 1920w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-1170x197.png 1170w, https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/lp-membership1-585x98.png 585w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 4680px) 100vw, 4680px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Monday, 29 Janunary, a Hong Kong court ordered the liquidation of the world\u2019s most indebted developer, China Evergrande Group. \u201cEnough is enough,\u201d said Judge Linda Chan as part of her verdict, appointing New York-based management consulting firm Alvarez &amp; Marsal (A&amp;M) to carry out liquidation proceedings for the Guangzhou-based developer. A&amp;M leaders said they would try to maximise how much of the company can be \u201cretained, restructured, and remain&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":13607,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[132],"tags":[2366,2427,272],"class_list":["post-13606","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-evergrande","tag-paywall","tag-real-estate"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What next for Evergrande? - Focus - China Britain Business Council<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The collapse of Evergrande \u2013 whose liabilities are equal to the GDP of South Africa \u2013 is a big deal, but its effect shouldn&#039;t be overstated\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/what-next-for-evergrande\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What next for Evergrande? - Focus - China Britain Business Council\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The collapse of Evergrande \u2013 whose liabilities are equal to the GDP of South Africa \u2013 is a big deal, but its effect shouldn&#039;t be overstated\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/what-next-for-evergrande\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Focus - China Britain Business Council\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/chinabritainbusinesscouncil\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-02-02T06:30:47+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-04-23T09:02:26+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Evergrande-liquidation.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"584\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Robynne Tindall\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@ChinaBritain\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ChinaBritain\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Robynne Tindall\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/what-next-for-evergrande\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/what-next-for-evergrande\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Robynne Tindall\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/#\/schema\/person\/4eee4be9f56054a5043a5e7fa75178cd\"},\"headline\":\"What next for Evergrande?\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-02-02T06:30:47+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-04-23T09:02:26+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/what-next-for-evergrande\/\"},\"wordCount\":555,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/what-next-for-evergrande\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Evergrande-liquidation.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Evergrande\",\"Paywall\",\"real estate\"],\"articleSection\":[\"News\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/what-next-for-evergrande\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/focus.cbbc.org\/what-next-for-evergrande\/\",\"name\":\"What next for Evergrande? 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